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‘Superforecasters’ Say a Covid-19 Vaccine Is Still a Ways Off
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People who get paid to make forecasts say there’s only a 9% chance that there will be a widely available vaccine for Covid-19 before next April. That’s according to Good Judgment Inc., a company that maintains a global network of forecasters to make predictions for clients based on publicly available evidence.
It’s Not Magic, It’s Science: Predicting the Future
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It could be argued that scientists create superpowers in their labs. If Aram Galstyan, director of the Artificial Intelligence Division at the USC Viterbi Information Sciences Institute (ISI) had to pick just one superpower, it would be the ability to predict the future. ... For the past two years, Galstyan has led a group of researchers at ISI on a (IARPA-funded) project named Synergistic Anticipation of Geopolitical Events, or SAGE, to attempt to predict the future using non-experts.
Mapping our COVID-19 recovery
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SWARM technology has brought together the country’s leading experts from Australian universities to work on our recovery after COVID-19.... We were tasked by the Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity, a division of the US Office of the Director of National Intelligence, to find a way to improve the quality of analytic reasoning in intelligence reports
Scientists Develop Device for Detecting Early Stages of Lung Problems Caused by COVID-19
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Air Force Research Laboratory scientists are working with University of Michigan and Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity researchers to build and test a revolutionary chemical sensing device that can detect acute respiratory disease syndrome (ARDS) associated with COVID-19 deaths.
Understanding the role of cardiorespiratory fitness and body composition in brain health
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Beckman Institute for Advanced Science and Technology examined how cardiorespiratory fitness and body composition relate to neuronal health in 290 healthy young adults. ... The Office of the Director of National Intelligence, Intelligence Advanced Research Projects supported this research.
Intelligence Community Wants Better Tech for COVID-19 and the Next Pandemic
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U.S. pandemic researchers and responders were caught flat-footed by COVID-19, but the intelligence community’s lead research division wants to catch up and be ready for the next viral outbreak. The Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity, or IARPA, issued a broad agency announcement offering seedling funding for early-stage technology and methods that could revolutionize pandemic response.
The Air Force has a bomb detector that can sniff out life-threatening coronavirus cases
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One of the problems with the novel coronavirus is that some people will experience a more severe case of the disease, especially the elderly and people suffering from other medical conditions.... Air Force researchers have designed a small gas chromatograph (micro-GC) that can detect explosives and chemical weapons remotely. The system was built under the molecular analyzer for efficient gas-phase low-power interrogation (MAEGLIN) program from the Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity.
