IARPA in the News

FCW

What: A request from the intelligence community's research arm for ideas about how to use signals intelligence (SIGINT) data to help manage dire international situations.

Why: The Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA) wants to step beyond using publicly available information such as news reports and everyday communications to help deal with foreign political crises and disease outbreaks. IARPA wants to analyze a world of more subtle information generated through SIGINT.

Big Data

Anticipatory intelligence is considered to be one of the next frontiers of “big data” research, wherein myriad data streams are fused together to generate predictions of critical societal events. One of the promising themes in this space is the idea of harnessing open-source datasets to identify threats and support decision making for national security, law enforcement, and intelligence missions. Early Model Based Event Recognition using Surrogates (EMBERS) is an anticipatory intelligence system for forecasting socially significant population-level events, such as civil unrest incidents, disease outbreaks, and election outcomes, on the basis of publicly available data. EMBERS is supported by the Intelligence Advanced Research Project Activity (IARPA) Open Source Indicators (OSI) program.

POLITICO

The Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity is planning a conference in March for researchers interested in its new Mercury Program — aimed at predicting future events by mining foreign signals intelligence — the agency said Wednesday. The program will focus on parsing classified foreign SIGINT, such as electronic communications, along with open source information, according to a notice. Details: http://1.usa.gov/1uaX3yN.

Intelligence Community News

The Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA) seeks information on the availability and development of electronic design automation (EDA) tools for superconducting electronics (SCE). Interested contractors should note that the deadline for responses is 4:00pm EST February 13, 2015.

Philadelphia Inquirer

...This counterintuitive truth has fascinated social scientists, psychologists, and statisticians for more than a century. But it was not until four years ago that the nation's intelligence community decided to focus its attention - and largesse - on figuring out how to take advantage of what has come to be known as "the wisdom of the crowd."

Hoping to improve its accuracy forecasting critical world events, the federal Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA) organized a tournament.

CHIPS

The Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA) is sponsoring the Good Judgment Project, a four-year research study organized as part of a government-sponsored forecasting tournament. Thousands of people around the world predict global events. Their collective forecasts are surprisingly accurate.

The Good Judgment research team is based in the University of Pennsylvania and the University of California Berkeley. The project is led by psychologists Philip Tetlock, author of Expert Political Judgment, Barbara Mellers, an expert on judgment and decision-making, and Don Moore, an expert on overconfidence. Other team members are experts in psychology, economics, statistics, and computer science and interface design.

Microwave Journal

Cambridge Instruments, a division of MagiQ Technologies Inc., introduced the QuantumWave 4000 series of PXIe based, RF and microwave sources that provide high-quality CW signals at frequencies up to 12 GHz and low size, weight and power (SWaP).

All three synthesizers in the QuantumWave 4000 Series PXIe CW synthesizers support DARPA/IARPA quantum computer development that requires multiple microwave signals in a design that is smaller, lighter and more energy efficient than traditional bench instruments.