IARPA in the News

Management Today

Superforecasting is a very good book. In fact it is essential reading - which I have never said in any of my previous MT reviews. In 2003, after the invasion of Iraq, the American Intelligence Community (IC) was shocked by how wrong it had been about Saddam having weapons of mass destruction....It set up a new agency, IARPA, which in 2011 commissioned a tournament of forecasters, tasked with making daily predictions looking between one month and one year into the future, covering 500 events, over four years.


OAK RIDGE, Tenn., Sept. 29, 2015 - Lock Data Solutions has licensed a technology from the Department of Energy's Oak Ridge National Laboratory designed to protect a company's data from internal and external threats....Lock Data Solutions LLC, located in New York City, is a technology company dedicated to bringing cutting edge solutions to cloud and network cybersecurity. Development of this technology was made possible by funding from the Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity.


The National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency has made a point of hitching its operations to the recent boom in open source data. The intelligence community’s mapping agency has in the last few months released a software toolkit for crowdsourcing on GitHub...“One of the virtues of open source is that it’s especially relevant for the kinds of events that the intelligence community cares about that don’t involve adversaries, in the traditional sense,” said IARPA Director Jason Matheny.

Financial Post

Doug not only beat the control group's "wisdom of the crowd," he surpassed it by more than 60 percent, meaning that he single-handedly exceeded the fourth-year performance target that IARPA set for multimillion-dollar research programs that were free to use every trick in the forecasting textbook for improving accuracy.

Seeking Alpha

We all crave knowledge of the future. Is it going to rain this weekend? Where will the equity markets be in a year? Next week? Five minutes from now? Predictive models, many using big data and statistical algorithms, have begun making inroads into this problem....Philip E. Tetlock, a professor at the University of Pennsylvania and co-leader of a multiyear online forecasting study, the Good Judgment Project, and Dan Gardner, a journalist, teamed up to produce one of the best books I've read this year.

Defense News

The democratization of technology has been both a benefit and a bother to the intelligence community. Outlets such as social media have provided intelligence officials with a readily available database to analyze – even adopting the wider use of open source intelligence – but it also has proved to be a handy tool for terrorists....According to Jason Matheny, director of the Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity, open sourcing is good for the types of events that the Intelligence Community does not look at in terms of typical or traditional military adversaries.


Louisiana Tech University and its Center for Biomedical Engineering Rehabilitation Science (CBERS) is proud to welcome Dr. Emery N. Brown, M.D., Ph.D., who will present highlights from his research in neuroscience...The BRAIN Initiative is a $100 million program that includes five federal agencies, the National Institutes for Health, the National Science Foundation, the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, Federal Drug Administration and Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity.