IARPA in the News

Federal Times

The Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity is where the intelligence community turns to solve some of its toughest programs — it’s billed as the IC’s high-risk, high-payoff science lab. At IARPA, researchers are developing and testing futuristic technologies that can predict the events that sway geopolitics.


The Telegraph

A professional cricketer runs up, bowls, and immediately turns back to his mark without looking to see whether his effort is on target....In 2011, the Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA) sponsored a four-year “forecasting tournament” which saw university-based research teams using various methods to attempt to forecast real-world problems and beat the IC’s demanding benchmarks.

Carolina Tech News

Today, the White House is announcing a grand challenge to develop transformational computing capabilities by combining innovations in multiple scientific disciplines....Recent progress in developing novel, low-power methods of sensing and computation—including neuromorphic, magneto-electronic, and analog systems—combined with dramatic advances in neuroscience and cognitive sciences, lead us to believe that this ambitious challenge is now within our reach. The Federal government is driving many of these initial advances through programs such as Expeditions in Computing and Robust Intelligence at the National Science Foundation (NSF); Computational Cognition and Machine Intelligence, Nanoscale Computing Devices and Systems, DARPA SyNAPSE, DARPA UPSIDE, and DARPA STARnet (a public-private partnership with the Semiconductor Research Corporation) at the Department of Defense; and MICrONS at IARPA.

PW Newswire

WASHINGTON, Oct. 29, 2015 /PRNewswire-USNewswire/ -- Dr. Greg Shannon, an IEEE senior member and cybersecurity expert from Carnegie Mellon University (CMU), recently began an assignment in the White House...As chief scientist, Shannon led the division to advance the science of cybersecurity with new research capabilities for the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA), the Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Agency (IARPA) and the Department of Homeland Security.

The Florida Times-Union

You can get an up-to-the-minute research-based handle on whether, and how, and under what conditions individuals can predict human events by reading Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner’s “Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction.”

Tetlock, an academic based at the University of Pennsylvania, is one of the leaders of the Good Judgment Project, a collective that won the Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA) tournament for predicting events broadly relevant to U.S. security. (IARPA is a project of the U.S. intelligence agencies.)

The Stute

There are two big geopolitical forecasting-tournament data sets, one linked to Expert Political Judgment, summarizing tournaments that ran from 1985–2002, and the other linked to GJP (Good Judgment Project), otherwise known as the IARPA (Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Agency) tournament, which ran from 2011–2015.

Independant Voter News

On Sunday, October 25, 2015, CNN aired a story by Fareed Zakaria about research on expert predictions. The research that Dr. Zakaria discussed was conducted by social scientist Philip Tetlock (a psychologist at the University of Pennsylvania) and his colleagues. The research is described in Dr. Tetlock’s book, Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction.