IARPA in the News 2015

Federal News Radio

Tornadoes have warnings; the flu season gets a prediction; even government unrest can be spotted before tempers flare — so why can’t cyber attacks be spotted before they strike?...Researchers at the Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA) are working to change that why to a when, according to its director Jason Matheny.

Fed News Radio

The Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Agency wants to build an early warning system for cyber attacks. Previous IARPA research showed publicly available data sources can be used to accurately predict events like disease outbreaks and political crises. Now with its Cyber-attack Automated Unconventional Sensor Environment, or CAUSE, program, the agency wants to apply that model to detecting cyber attacks.

Forbes

It’s difficult, but not impossible, to predict the future. In Superforecasting, Philip Tetlock profiles a small group of people who were able to successfully predict geopolitical events. More on this in a minute....And now for the backstory. The Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA) identifies and supports “high-risk, high-payoff” research.

Value Walk

The United States intelligence community is always looking to improve the quality of its predictions. To help, an agency within the community, Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA), was assembled to pursue high-risk research into how to improve American intelligence.

New York Magazine

It’s called Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction, and much of the book is based on a widely reported, 20-year study...in which superforecasters took a stab at estimating the probability of some kind of global future event.