IARPA in the News 2014
Superconducting circuits, simplified
Computer chips with superconducting circuits — circuits with zero electrical resistance — would be 50 to 100 times as energy-efficient as today’s chips, an attractive trait given the increasing power consumption of the massive data centers that power the Internet’s most popular sites....
In the latest issue of the journal Nano Letters, MIT researchers present a new circuit design that could make simple superconducting devices much cheaper to manufacture....
McCaughan and Berggren’s research was funded by the National Science Foundation and by the Director of National Intelligence’s Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity.
IARPA Announces Neurophysiological Correlation Contest Winners
The Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity has selected Troy Lau and Scott Kuzdeba’s scientific approach to predict human behavior as the winner of the agency’s first public challenge.
Lau and Kuzdeba developed the Joint Estimation of Deception Intent via Multisource Integration of Neuropsychological Discriminators tool through use of combined statistical methods under the Investigating Novel Statistical Techniques to Identify Neurophysiological Correlates of Trustworthiness program, IARPA said Thursday.
How do I know you’re lying? My “Star Wars” algorithm told me
Two researchers with BAE Systems’ Adaptive Reasoning Technologies Group have taken home a $25,000 prize for developing an algorithm that can help detect who's trustworthy and who isn't.
The algorithm – known as JEDI MIND--was developed as part of crowdsourcing challenge that took place between nearly 40 competitors backed by The Office of the Director of National Intelligence and its Intelligence Advanced Research Project Activity (IARPA) group.
UM professor earns reputation for predicting world events
Karen Ruth Adams stood before a Model United Nations class at the University of Montana on Tuesday, preparing students for careers in public policy, international affairs and high school teaching.
While far away from Washington, D.C., this academic environment is fitting for Adams, a professor of political science and scholar who has earned a reputation for predicting world events before they happen.
Given her skills, the Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity and its Good Judgment Project recognized Adams as a “super forecaster.” It’s a lighthearted term with serious implications, capable of changing how the U.S. intelligence community tracks crises around the world.
Can We Predict the Next War?
...Iarpa supports a number of forecasting and Big-Data competitions, many of which are run by universities, in an effort to improve the ability of the intelligence community to track and predict crises around the world. The Good Judgment Project is also supported by Iarpa.
The goal of the Open Source Indicators program, by contrast, is "to beat the news," says Jason Matheny, its manager at Iarpa. Longer-term forecasts, he says, are helpful for spotting trends. "But if you’re an embassy and you’re looking at whether there’s going to be instability next week, you can’t use a model that’s looking at last year’s infant-mortality rate and last year’s inflation rate. You really need to be looking at something that’s taking the pulse of the community today and forecasting what it’ll be next week."